Public lecture: Bayesian modelling, and visualization of problems related to forecasting urban fire

Event Details

Date:

Tuesday, 14 May 2013

Time:

1:00 pm - 2:00 pm

Room:

320

UQ Location:

Steele Building (St Lucia)

URL:

http://www.gpem.uq.edu.au/seminar-bayesian

Event category(s):

Full Description:: In this talk I will follow in the footsteps of Denis Lindley and offer an overview of elementary statistics from an advanced standpoint. The focus will be from a Bayesian perspective and will explain what I see as the three core ideas of Bayesian statistics.

I will demonstrate how these can be applied to conventional models such as density estimation and regression and highlight some of the challenges of spatial and spatial-temporal statistical modelling. One of these challenges is the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) that will be explained is as a consequence of applying conventional models to spatial statistical problems.

Finally, I will give an overview of some recent advances that overcome this challenge drawing on our work on the spatial forecasting urban fires as well as other studies.