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Hugh completed Applied Mathematics Honours at The University of Adelaide in 1984. After attaining a Rhodes Scholarship in 1984 Hugh completed his D.Phil at Oxford University in 1987. Postdoctoral research periods followed at Stanford University and at the Australian National University (as a QEIII Fellow). In 1991 he took a Lectureship, later Senior Lectureship, in Applied Mathematics at The University of Adelaide. In 1995 he was appointed Foundation Chair and Professor of the Department of Environmental Science at the Roseworthy campus of The University of Adelaide. In July 2000 Hugh took up a joint Professorship between the Departments of Zoology & Entomology, and Mathematics at The University of Queensland. In February 2001 The Ecology Centre was established with Hugh as Director. From 2003-2007 Hugh was an ARC Professorial Research Fellow. Professor Possingham is currently an ARC Federation fellow (2007 – 2011) and Director of a Commonwealth Environment Research Facility – Applied Environmental Decision Analysis.
The Possingham lab includes nine postdoctoral researchers and twenty-five PhD students working on empirical and theoretical aspects of the applied population ecology of plants and animals. Particular areas of recent research include marine reserve design, optimal landscape reconstruction for birds, metapopulation dynamics of plants and animals, population viability analysis, kangaroo and koala management, and optimal weed control (as part of the Weeds CRC). The lab has a unifying interest in environmental applications of decision theory. Hugh has published over 100 refereed articles and book chapters.
Hugh has a variety of broader public roles including Chair of the federal government Biological Diversity Advisory Committee, member of the NHT Advisory Committee, member of the state Ministerial Advisory Committee on Vegetation Management, member of the Research and Conservation Committee of Birds Australia and member of the Board of Greening Australia, Queensland.
Hugh has recently been awarded: the POL Eureka Prize for Environmental Research (for collaborative work with Dr David Lindenmayer) - 1999, the inaugural Fenner medal for plant and animal biology from the Australian Academy of Sciences - 2000, and the Australian Mathematical Society Medal - 2001.
He suffers from obsessive bird watching.
For an insight into the man himself, see the transcript of an interview conducted with Hugh on behalf of the Australian Academy of Science.
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Publications (Past 3 years)
Possingham, H. P., and E. Nicholson. ( In Press). Principles of landscape design that emerge from a formal problem-solving approach. in R. J. Hobbs and D. B. Lindenmayer, editors. Managing and designing landscapes for conservation: moving from perspectives to principles. Blackwell Publishing.
2007
Carwardine, J., W. A. Rochester, K. S. Richardson, K. J. Williams, R. L. Pressey, H. P. Possingham. 2007. Conservation planning with irreplaceability: does the method matter? Biodiversity and Conservation 16: 245-258. pdf
Field, S. A., P. J. O'Connor, A. J. Tyre, H. P. Possingham. 2007. Making Monitoring Meaningful. Austral Ecology 32:485-491. pdf
Knight, A. T., R. J. Smith, R. M. Cowling, P. G. Desmet, D. P. Faith, S. Ferrier, C. M. Geldenblom, H. Grantham, A. T. Lombard, K. Maze, J. L. Nel, J. D. Parrish, G. Q. K. Pence, H. P. Possingham, B. Reyers, M. Rouget, D. Roux, and K. A. Wilson. 2007. Improving the key biodiversity areas approach for effective conservation planning. BioScience 57:256-261. pdf
McCarthy, M., H. P. Possingham. 2007. Active adaptive management for conservation. Conservation Biology 21:956-963. pdf (540kb)
Nicholson, E., H. P. Possingham. 2007. Making conservation decisions under uncertainty for the persistence of multiple species. Ecological Applications 17:251-265. pdf
Possingham, H. P., H. Grantham, C. Rondini. 2007. How can you conserve species that haven't been found?. Journal of Biogeography 34(5):758-759. pdf
Rout, T. M., C. E. Hauser, H. P. Possingham. 2007. Minimise long-termloss or maximise short-term gain? Optimal translocation strategies for threatened species. Ecological Modelling 2001: 67-74. pdf
Stewart, R. R., I. R. Ball, H. P. Possingham. 2007. The effect of incremental reserve design and changing reservation goals on the long-term efficiency of reserve systems. Conservation Biology 21:346-354. pdf
2006
Baxter, P. W. J., M. A. McCarthy, H. Possingham, P. W. Menkhorst, and N. McLean. 2006. Accounting for management costs in sensitivity analyses of Matrix Population Models. Conservation Biology pdf.
Carwardine, J., W. A. Rochester, et al. (2006 online first). "Conservation planning with irreplaceability: does the method matter?" Biodiversity and Conservation 1-14. pdf.
Etter, A., C. A. McAlpine, S. Phinn, D. Pullar and H. P. Possingham (2006) Unplanned land clearing of Colombian rainforests: Spreading like disease? Landscape and Urban Planning pdf.
Etter, A., C. A. McAlpine, D. Pullar and H. P. Possingham (2006) Modelling the conversion of colombian lowland ecosystems since 1940: Drivers, patterns and rates. Journal of Environmental Management pdf.
Etter, A., C. A. McAlpine, K. A. Wilson, S. Phinn and H. P. Possingham (2006) Regional patterns of agricultural land use and deforestation in Colombia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment pdf.
Garden, J., C. McAlpine, A. Peterson, D. Jones and H. Possingham (2006) Review of the ecology of Australian urban fauna: A focus on spatially explicit processes. Austral Ecology 31:126-148. pdf
Halpern, B. S., H. M. Regan, H. P. Possingham and M. A. McCarthy (2006) Accounting for uncertainty in marine reserve design. Ecology Letters 9:2-11 pdf.
Halpern, B. S., H. M. Regan, H. P. Possingham and M. A. McCarthy (2006) Rejoinder: uncertainty and decision making. Ecology Letters 9:13-14 pdf.
Hauser, C. E., A. R. Pople, and H. P. Possingham. 2006. Should managed populations be monitored every year? Ecological Applications 16:807-819. pdf
Joseph, L. N., S. A. Field, C. V. Wilcox, and H. P. Possingham (2006). Presence-absence versus abundance data for monitoring threatened species. Conservation Biology pdf
Mace, G. M., H. P. Possingham, and N. Leader-Williams. (2006) Prioritizing choices in conservation. Pages 17-34 in D. W. McDonald and K. Service, editors. Key Topics in Conservation Biology. Blackwell Publishing, Malden, MA USA.pdf.
Martin, T. G., S. McIntyre, C. P. Catterall and H. P. Possingham (2006) Is Landscape Context Important for Riparian Conservation? Birds in Grassy Woodland. Biological Conservation 127:201-214 pdf.
McAlpine, C. A., M. M. Bowen, J. G. Callaghan, D. Lunney, J. R. Rhodes, D. Mitchell, D. Pullar, and H. P. Possingham. (2006) Testing alternative models for the conservation of Koalas in fragmented rural-urban landscapes. Austral Ecology 31:529-544. pdf.
McAlpine, C. A., J. R. Rhodes, J. Callaghan, M. M. Bowen, D. Lunney, D. Mitchell, D. Pullar, and H. P. Possingham. (2006) The importance of forest area and configuration relative to local habitat factors for conserving forest mammals: A case study of koalas in Queensland, Australia. Biological Conservation.Nicholson, E. and H. P. Possingham (in press) Objectives for multiple species conservation planning. Conservation Biology pdf.
Nicholson, E., and H. P. Possingham. (2006) Objectives for multiple species conservation planning. Conservation Biology 20:871-881. pdf
Nicholson, E., M. I. Westphal, K. Frank, W. A. Rochester, R. L. Pressey, D. Lindenmayer, and H. P. Possingham. (2006) A new method for conservation planning for the persistence of multiple species. Ecology Letters 9:1049-1060. pdf
Possingham, H. P., K. A. Wilson, S. J. Andelman and C. H. Vynne (2006) Protected Areas: Goals, Limitations, and Design. Pages 509-533 in M. J. Groom, G. K. Meefe and C. R. Carroll, editors. Principles of Conservation Biology, 3rd Edition. Sinauer Associates, Inc., Sunderland MA. pdf.
Regan, T. J., M. A. McCarthy, P. W. J. Baxter, F. D. Panetta, and H. Possingham (2006) Optimal eradication: when to stop looking for an invasive plant. Ecology Letters 9. pdf.
Rhodes, J. R., A. J. Tyre, N. Jonzén, C. A. McAlpine, and H. P. Possingham (2006) Optimizing presence/absence surveys for detecting population trends. Journal of Wildlife Management 70:8-18 pdf
Rhodes, J., T. Wiegand, C. McAlpine, J. Callaghan, D. Lunney, M. Bowen, and H. P. Possingham (2006) Modeling Species Distributions to Improve Conservation in Semiurban Landscapes: Koala Case Study. Conservation Biology 20:449-459 pdf
Richardson, E. A., M. J. Kaiser, G. Edwards-Jones, and H. P. Possingham (2006) Sensitivity of marine-reserve design to the spatial resolution of socioeconomic data. Conservation Biology 20:1191-1201 pdf.
Rondinini, C., K. A. Wilson, L. Boitani, H. Grantham, and H. P. Possingham (2006) Tradeoffs of different types of species occurency data for use in systematic conservation planning. Ecology Letters 9:1136-1145. pdf.
Vuilleumier, S., and H. P. Possingham. (2006) Does colonization asymmetry matter in metapopulations? Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences 273:1637-1642 pdf.
Wätzold, F., M. Drechsler, C. W. Armstrong, S. Baumgärtner, V. Grimm, A. Huth, C. Perrings, H. P. Possingham, J. F. Shogren, A. Skonhoft, J. Verboom-Vasiljev, and C. Wissel. (2006) Ecological-economic modeling for biodiversity management: Potential, pitfalls, and prospects. Conservation Biology 20:1034-1041 pdf.
Wilcox, C., B. J. Cairns, and H. P. Possingham (2006) The role of habitat disturbance and recovery in metapopulation persistence. Ecology 87:855-863. pdf.
Wilson, K. A., M. McBride, M. Bode, and H. P. Possingham. (2006) Prioritising global conservation efforts. Nature 40:337-340. email for pdf
2005
Banks, S. A., G. A. Skilleter and H. P. Possingham (2005) Intertidal habitat conservation: identifying conservation targets in the absence of detailed biological information. Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems 15:271-288 pdf
Etter, A., C. A. McAlpine, D. Pullar and H. P. Possingham (2005) Modeling the age of tropical moist forest fragments in heavily-cleared lowland landscapes of Colombia. Forest Ecology and Management 208:249-260 pdf
Fernandes, L., J. Day, A. Lewis, S. Slegers, B. Kerrigan, D. Breen, D. Cameron, B. Jago, J. Hall, D. Lowe, J. Innes, J. Tanzer, V. Chadwick, L. Thompson, K. Gorman, M. Simmons, B. Barnett, K. Sampson, G. De'ath, B. Mapstone, H. Marsh, H. P. Possingham, I. Ball, T. Ward, K. Dobbs, J. Aumend, D. Slater and K. Stapleton (2005) Establishing Representative No-Take Areas in the Great Barrier Reef: Large-Scale Implementation of Theory on Marine Protected Areas. Conservation Biology 19:1733-1744 pdf
Field, S. A., A. J. Tyre and H. P. Possingham (2005) Optimizing allocation of monitoring effort under economic and observational constraints. Journal of Wildlife Management 69:473-482 pdf
Field, S. A., A. J. Tyre, K. H. Thorn, P. J. O'Connor and H. P. Possingham (2005) Improving the efficience of wildlife monitoring by estimating detectability: a case study of foxes (Vulpes vulpes) on the Eyre Peninsula, South Australia. Wildlife Research 32:253-258 pdf
Gerber, L. R., M. Beger, M. A. McCarthy and H. P. Possingham (2005) A theory for optimal monitoring of marine reserves. Ecology Letters 8:829-837 pdf
Grigg, R. W., S. J. Dollar, A. Huppert, B. D. Causey, K. Andrews, W. L. Kruczynski, W. F. Precht, S. L. Miller, R. B. Aronson, J. F. Bruno, L. Kaufman, J. B. C. Jackson, J. C. Ogden, J. M. Pandolfi, N. Baron, R. H. Bradbury, H. M. Guzman, T. P. Hughes, C. V. Kappel, F. Micheli, H. P. Possingham and E. Sala (2005) Reassessing US coral reefs - Response. Science 308:1741-1742 pdf
Jonzén, N., J. R. Rhodes and H. P. Possingham (2005) Trend detection in source-sink systems: When should sink habitats be monitored. Ecological Applications 15:326-334 pdf
Jonzén, N., A. R. Pople, G. C. Grigg and H. P. Possingham (2005) Of Sheep and Rain: Large-scale Population Dynamics of the Red Kangaroo. Journal of Animal Ecology 74:22-30 pdf
Kuhnert, P. M., T. G. Martin, K. Mengersen and H. P. Possingham (2005) Assessing the impacts of grazing levels on bird density in woodland habitat: a Bayesian approach using expert opinion. Environmetrics 16:717-747 pdf
Martin, T. G. and H. P. Possingham (2005) Predicting the impact of livestock grazing on birds using foraging height data. Journal of Applied Ecology 42:400-408 pdf
Martin, T. G., P. M. Kunhert, K. Mengersen and H. P. Possingham (2005) The power of expert opinion in ecological models using Bayesian methods: Impact of grazing on birds. Ecological Applications 15:266-280 pdf
Martin, T. G., B. A. Wintle, J. R. Rhodes, P. M. Kunhert, S. A. Field, S. J. Low-Choy, A. J. Tyre and H. P. Possingham (2005) Zero tolerance ecology: improving ecological inference by modelling the source of zero observation. Ecology Letters 8:1235-1246 pdf; appendices
McCarthy, M. A., C. J. Thompson and H. P. Possingham (2005) Theory for Designing Nature Reserves for Single Species. The American Naturalist 165:250-257 pdf
Pandolfi, J. M., J. B. C. Jackson, N. Baron, R. H. Bradbury, H. M. Guzman, T. P. Hughes, C. V. Kappel, F. Micheli, J. C. Ogden, H. P. Possingham and E. Sala (2005) Are U.S. coral reefs on the slippery slope to slime? Science 307:1725-1726 pdf
Pillans, S., R. D. Pillans, R. W. Johnstone, P. G. Kraft, M. D. E. Haywood and H. P. Possingham (2005) Effects of marine reserve protection on the mud crab Scylla serrata in a sex-biased fishery in subtropical Australia. Marine Ecology Progress Series 295:201-213 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (2005) Clear view needed in environmental monitoring. Australasian Science Sept:43 pdf
Possingham, H., and K. Wilson. 2005. Biodiversity - Turning up the heat on hotspots. Nature 436:919-920. email for pdf
Possingham, H. P., J. Franklin, K. A. Wilson and T. J. Regan (2005) The roles of spatial heterogeneity and ecological processes in conservation planning. Pages 389-406 in G. M. Lovett, C. G. Jones, M. G. Turner and K. C. Weathers, editors. Ecosystem Function in Heterogeneous Landscapes. Springer, New York
Rhodes, J. R., C. A. McAlpine, D. Lunney and H. P. Possingham (2005) A Spatially Explicit Habitat Selection Model Incorporating Home Range Behavior. Ecology 86:1199-1205 pdf
Stewart, R. R. and H. P. Possingham (2005) Efficiency, costs and trade-offs in marine reserve system design. Environmental Modeling and Assessment 10:203-213 pdf
Wilson, K. A., M. I. Westphal, H. P. Possingham and J. Elith (2005) Sensitivity of conservation planning to different approaches to using predicted species distribution data. Biological Conservation 122:99-112 pdf
Wilson, K. A., R. L. Pressey, A. N. Newton, M. A. Burgman, H. P. Possingham and C. J. Weston (2005) Measuring and incorporating vulnerability into conservation planning. Environmental Management 35:527-543 pdf
Publications prior to 2005
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2004
Cabeza, M., A. Moilanen and H. P. Possingham (2004) Metapopulation dynamics and reserve network design. Pages 541-564 in I. Hanski and O. Gaggiotti, editors. Ecology, genetics, and evolution of metapopulations. Elsevier Academic Press, Amsterdam
Field, S. A., A. J. Tyre, N. Jonzen, J. R. Rhodes and H. P. Possingham (2004) Minimizing the cost of environmental management decisions by optimizing statistical thresholds. Ecology Letters 7:669-675 pdf
Haight, R. G., B. Cypher, P. A. Kelly, S. Phillips, K. Ralls and H. P. Possingham (2004) Optimizing reserve expansion for disjunct populations of San Joaquin kit fox. Biological Conservation 117:61-72 pdf
Jonzén, N., C. Wilcox and H. P. Possingham (2004) Habitat Selection and Population Regulation in Temporally Fluctuating Environments. American Naturalist 164:E103-E114 pdf
McCarthy, M. A., D. A. Keith, J. Tietjen, M. A. Burgman, M. Maunder, L. L. Master, B. W. Brook, G. M. Mace, H. P. Possingham, R. A. Medellín, S. Andelman, H. Regan, T. J. Regan and M. Ruckelshaus (2004) Comparing predictions of extinction risk using models and subjective judgement. Acta Oecologica 26:67-74 pdf
Meir, E., S. Andelman and H. P. Possingham (2004) Does conservation planning matter in a dynamic and uncertain world? Ecology Letters 7:615-622 pdf
Possingham, M. L., S. A. Field and H. P. Possingham (2004) Species Richness and Abundance of Birds in Mt Lofty Ranges Stringybark Habitat: 1999-2000. South Australian Ornithologist 34:153-169
Tenhumberg, B., A. J. Tyre, K. Shea and H. P. Possingham (2004) Linking wild and captive populations to maximise species persistence: optimal translocation strategies. Conservation Biology 18:1304-1314 pdf
Tenhumberg, B., A. J. Tyre, A. R. Pople and H. P. Possingham (2004) Do harvest refuges buffer kangaroos against evolutionary responses to selective harvesting? Ecology 85:2003-2017
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2003
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Allison, G. W., S. D. Gaines, J. Lubchenco and H. P. Possingham (2003) Ensuring persistence of marine reserves: catastrophes requiring adopting an insurance factor. Ecological Applications 13:S8-S24 pdf
Ball, S. J., D. B. Lindenmayer and H. P. Possingham (2003) The predictive accuracy of population viability analysis: a test using data from two small mammal species in a fragmented landscape. Biodiversity and Conservation 12:2393-2413 pdf
Gerber, L. R., L. W. Botsford, A. Hastings, H. P. Possingham, S. D. Gaines, S. R. Palumbi and S. J. Andelman (2003) Population models for marine reserve design: A retrospective and prospective synthesis. Ecological Applications 13:S47-S64 pdf
Leslie, H., R. Ruckelshaus, I. R. Ball, S. J. Andelman and H. P. Possingham (2003) Using siting algorithms in the design of marine reserve networks. Ecological Applications 13:S185-S198 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B., H. P. Possingham, R. C. Lacy, M. A. McCarthy and M. L. Pope (2003) How accurate are population models? Lessons from landscape-scale tests in a fragmented system. Ecology Letters 6:41-47 pdf
Martin, T. G., L. N. Joseph and H. P. Possingham (2003) Black-chinned honeyeaters (Melithreptus gularis) stealing koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) fur to build a nest. The Sunbird 33(1):29-32
McCarthy, M. A., S. J. Andelman and H. P. Possingham (2003) Reliability of relative predictions in population viability analysis. Conservation Biology 17:1-9 pdf
Pillans, S., R. Johnstone, H. P. Possingham, R. Pillans, G. Dews and I. McPhail (2003) Effectiveness of No-Take Marine Reserves in Subtropical Australia in N. W. P. Munro, P. Deardon, T. B. Herman, K. Beazley and K. Bondrup-Nielson, editors. Fifth International Conference on Science and the Mangement of Protected Areas, Victoria, Canada pdf
Roberts, C. M., S. Andelman, G. Branch, R. H. Bustamante, J. C. Castilla, J. E. Dugan, B. S. Halpern, K. D. Lafferty, H. Leslie, J. Lubchenco, D. A. McArdle, H. P. Possingham, M. Ruckelshaus and R. R. Warner (2003) Ecological Criteria for Evaluating Candidate Sites for Marine Reserves. Ecological Applications 13:S199-S214 pdf
Stewart, R. R., T. Noyce and H. P. Possingham (2003) Opportunity cost of ad hoc marine reserve design decisions: an example from South Australia. Marine Ecology Progress Series 253:25–38 pdf
Tyre, A. J., B. Tenhumberg, S. A. Field, D. Niejalke, K. Parris and H. P. Possingham (2003) Improving precision and reducing bias in biological surveys: Estimating false-negative error rates. Ecological Applications 13:1790-1801
Westphal, M. I. and H. P. Possingham (2003) Applying a decision-theory framework to landscape planning for biodiversity: Follow-up to Watson et al. Conservation Biology 17:327-329 pdf
Westphal, M. I., M. Pickett, W. Getz and H.P. Possingham (2003) The use of stochastic dynamic programming in optimal landscape reconstruction for metapopulations. Ecological Applications 13:543-555 pdf
Westphal, M. I., S. A. Field, A. J. Tyre, D. Paton and H. P. Possingham (2003) Effects of landscape pattern on bird species distribution in the Mt. Lofty Ranges, South Australia. Landscape Ecology 18:413-426 pdf
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2002
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Bascompte, J., H. P. Possingham and J. Roughgarden (2002) Patchy populations in stochastic environments: Critical number of patches for persistence. The American Naturalist 159:128-137 pdf
Field, S. A., A. J. Tyre and H. P. Possingham (2002) Estimating bird species richness: How should repeat surveys be organized in time? Austral Ecology 27:624-629 pdf
Haight, R. G., B. Cypher, P. A. Kelly, S. Phillips, H. P. Possingham, K. Ralls, A. M. Starfield, P. J. White and D. Williams (2002) Optimizing habitat protection using demographic models of population viability. Conservation Biology 16:1386-1397 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B., A. D. Manning, P. L. Smith, H. P. Possingham, J. Fischer, I. Oliver and M. A. McCarthy (2002) The focal-species approach and landscape restoration: a critique. Conservation Biology 16:338-345 pdf
McDonnell, M. D., H. P. Possingham, I. R. Ball and E. A. Cousins (2002) Mathematical methods for spatially cohesive reserve design. Environmental Modelling and Assessment 7:107-114 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (2002) Ecological triage. Nature Australia 27:84
Possingham, H. P., D. B. Lindenmayer and G. N. Tuck (2002) Decision theory for population viability analysis. Pages 470-489 in S. R. Beissinger and D. R. McCullough, editors. Population Viability Analysis. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
Possingham, H. P., S. J. Andelman, M. A. Burgman, R. A. Medellin, L. L. Master and D. A. Keith (2002) Limits to the use of threatened species lists. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 17:503-5 pdf
Shea, K., H. P. Possingham, W. W. Murdoch and R. Roush (2002) Active adaptive management in insect pest and weed control: Intervention with a plan for learning. Ecological Applications 12:927-936 pdf
Wilcox, C. and H. P. Possingham (2002) Do life history traits affect the accuracy of diffusion approximation for mean time to extinction? Ecological Applications 12:1163-1179 pdf
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2001
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Amarasekare, P. and H. P. Possingham (2001) Patch dynamics and metapopulation theory: the case of successional species. Journal of Theoretical Biology 209:333-344 pdf
Burgman, M. A., H. P. Possingham, A. J. Lynch, D. A. Keith, M. A. McCarthy, S. D. Hopper, W. L. Drury, J. A. Passioura and R. J. Devries (2001) A Method For Setting The Size Of Plant Conservation Target Areas. Conservation Biology 15:603-616 pdf
Coulson, T., G. M. Mace, E. Hudson and H. P. Possingham (2001) The use and abuse of population viability analysis. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 16:219-221 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B., M. A. McCarthy, H. P. Possingham and S. Legge (2001) A simple landscape-scale test of a spatially explicit population model: patch occupancy in fragmented south-eastern Australian forests. Oikos 92:445-458 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B., I. R. Ball, H. P. Possingham, M. A. McCarthy and M. Pope (2001) A landscape scale test of the predictive ability of a spatially explicit model for population viability analysis. Journal of Applied Ecology 38:36-48 pdf
McCarthy, M. A., D. B. Lindenmayer and H. P. Possingham (2001) Assessing spatial PVA models of arboreal marsupials using significance tests and bayesian statistics. Biological Conservation 98:191-200 pdf
McCarthy, M. A., H. P. Possingham and A. M. Gill (2001) Using stochastic dynamic programming to determine optimal fire management of Banksia ornate. Journal of Applied Ecology 38:585-592 pdf
McCarthy, M. A., H. P. Possingham, J. R. Day and A. J. Tyre (2001) Testing the accuracy of population viability analysis. Conservation Biology 15:1030-1038 pdf
Milner-Gulland, E. J., K. Shea, H. P. Possingham, T. Coulson and C. Wilcox (2001) Competing harvesting strategies in a simulated population under uncertainty. Animal Conservation 4:157-167 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (2001) The Business of Biodiversity. Page 44. Australian Conservation Foundation, Melbourne pdf
Possingham, H. P., D. B. Lindenmayer and M. A. McCarthy (2001) Population Viability Analysis. Encyclopedia of Biodiversity. Academic Press
Possingham, H. P., S. J. Andelman, B. R. Noon, S. Trombulak and H. R. Pulliam (2001) Making smart conservation decisions in M. E. Soulé and G. H. Orians, editors. Conservation Biology: Research Priorities for the Next Decade. Island Press, Washington
Tenhumberg, B., M. A. Keller and H. P. Possingham (2001) Using Cox's Proportional Hazard Models to Implement Optimal Strategies: An example from behavioural ecology. Mathematical and Computer Modelling 33:597-607 pdf
Tenhumberg, B., M. A. Keller, H. P. Possingham and A. Tyre (2001) The effect of resource aggregation at different scales: optimal foraging of Cotesia rubecula. The American Naturalist 158:505-518 pdf
Tenhumberg, B., M. A. Keller, H. P. Possingham and A. J. Tyre (2001) Optimal patch-leaving behaviour: a case study using the parasitoid Cotesia rubecula. Journal of Animal Ecology 70:683-691 pdf
Tyre, A. J., H. P. Possingham and D. P. Niejalke (2001) Detecting environmental impacts on metapopulations of mound spring invertebrates - Assessing an incidence function model. Environment International 27:225-229 pdf
Tyre, A. J., H. P. Possingham and D. B. Lindenmayer (2001) Inferring process from pattern: Can territory occupancy provide information about life history parameters? Ecological Applications 11:1722-1737 pdf
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2000
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Ball, S. J., M. Adams, H. P. Possingham and M. A. Keller (2000) The genetic contribution of single male immigrants to small, inbred populations: a laboratory study using Drosophila melanogaster. Hereditary 84:677-684 pdf
Burgman, M. A. and H. P. Possingham (2000) Population viability analysis for conservation: the good, the bad and the undescribed. Pages 97-112 in A. G. Young and G. M. Clarke, editors. Genetics, demography, and viability of fragmented populations. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge pdf
Mace, G. M., A. Balmford, L. Boitani, G. Cowlishaw, A. P. Dobson, D. P. Faith, K. J. Gaston, C. J. Humphries, R. I. Vane-Wright, P. H. Williams, J. H. Lawton, C. R. Margules, R. M. May, A. O. Nicholls, H. P. Possingham, C. Rahbek and A. S. van Jaarsveld (2000) It's time to work together and stop duplicating conservation efforts. Nature 405:393 pdf
McCarthy, M. A., D. B. Lindenmayer and H. P. Possingham (2000) Testing spatial PVA models of Australian treecreepers (Aves: Climacteridae) in fragmented forest. Ecological Applications 10:1722–1731 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (2000) Is environmental research a waste of time? Ecological Management and Restoration 1:81-82 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (2000) The extinction debt: The future of birds in the Mount Lofty Ranges. Environment South Australia 8:10
Possingham, H. P. (2000) Conserving earth's biodiversity, with E.O. Wilson. Science 288:983-983 html
Possingham, H. P., I. Ball and S. J. Andelman (2000) Mathematical Methods for Identifying Representative Reserve Networks. Pages 291-305 in S. Ferson and M. A. Burgman, editors. Quantitative Methods for Conservation Biology. Springer-Verlag, New York pdf
Richards, S. A., R. M. Nisbet, W. G. Wilson and H. P. Possingham (2000) Grazers and diggers: exploitation competition and coexistence among foragers with different feeding strategies on a single resource. The American Naturalist 155:266-279 pdf
Shea, K. and H. P. Possingham (2000) Optimal release stratgies for biological control agents: an application of stochastic dynamic programming to population management. Journal of Applied Ecology 37:77-86 pdf
Thomas, P. B., H. P. Possingham and R. Roush (2000) Effects of soil disturbance and weed removal on germination within woodlands infested by boneseed. Plant Protection Quarterly 15:6-13
Tuck, G. N. and H. P. Possingham (2000) Marine protected areas for spatially structured stock. Marine Ecology Progress Series 192:89-101 pdf
Tyre, A. J., B. Tenhumberg, M. A. McCarthy and H. P. Possingham (2000) Swapping space for time and unfair tests of ecological models. Austral Ecology 25:327-331 pdf
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1999
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Ball, I. R., D. B. Lindenmayer and H. P. Possingham (1999) A tree hollow dynamics simulation model. Forest Ecology and Management 123:179-194 pdf
Luck, G. W., H. P. Possingham and D. C. Paton (1999) Bird responses at inherent and induced edges in the Murray mallee SA. 1. Differences in abundance and diversity. Emu 99:157-169 pdf
Luck, G. W., H. P. Possingham and D. C. Paton (1999) Bird responses at inherent and induced edges in the Murray mallee SA. 2. Nest predation as an edge effect. Emu 99:170-175 pdf
Possingham, H. P. and K. Shea (1999) The business of biodiversity. Australian Zoologist 31:3-5
Pressey, R. L., H. P. Possingham, V. S. Logan, J. R. Day and P. H. Williams (1999) Effects of data characteristics on the results of reserve selection algorithms. Journal of Biogeography 26:179-191 pdf
Richards, S. A., H. P. Possingham and J. Tizard (1999) Optimal fire management for maintaining community diversity. Ecological Applications 8:156 pdf
Supriatna, A. K. and H. P. Possingham (1999) Harvesting a two-patch predator-prey metapopulation. Natural Resource Modelling 12:481-500
Tyre, A. J., H. P. Possingham and D. B. Lindenmayer (1999) Modelling dispersal behaviour on a fractal landscape. Environmental Modelling & Software 14:103-113 pdf
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1998
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Lundy, I. J. and H. P. Possingham (1998) Fixation probability of an allele in a subdivided population with asymetric migration. Genetical Research Camb 71:237-245 pdf
Parma, A., P. Amarasekare, M. Mangel, J. Moore, W. W. Murdoch, E. Noonburg, M. A. Pascual, H. P. Possingham, K. Shea, C. Wilcox and D. Yu (1998) What can adaptive management do for our fish, food, forests and biodiversity. Integrative Biology 1:16-26 pdf
Shea, K., P. Amarasekare, M. Mangel, J. Moore, W. W. Murdoch, E. Noonburg, A. Parma, M. A. Pascual, H. P. Possingham, W. Wilcox and D. Yu (1998) Management of populations in conservation, harvesting and control. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 13:371-374 pdf
Supriatna, A. K. and H. P. Possingham (1998) Optimal harvesting for a predator-prey metapopulation. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 60:49-65 pdf
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1997 and beyond
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Possingham, H. P. (1997) State-dependent decision analysis for conservation biology. Pages 298-304 in S. T. A. Pickett, R. S. Ostfield, M. Shachak and G. E. Likens, editors. The ecological basis of conservation: heterogeneity, ecosystems and biodiversity. Chapman and Hall, New York
Possingham, M. L. and H. P. Possingham (1997) Habitat use and abundance of dryland birds in heritage areas in the upper south east of South Australia. South Australian Ornithologist 32:145-160
Pressey, R. L., H. P. Possingham and J. R. Day (1997) Effectiveness of alternative heuristic algorithms for approximating minimum requirements for conservation reserves. Biological Conservation 80:207-219 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B. and H. P. Possingham (1996) Ranking conservation and timber management options for Leadbeater's Possum in southeastern Australia using Population Viability Analysis. Conservation Biology 10:235-251 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B. and H. P. Possingham (1996) Modelling the inter-relationships between habitat patchiness, dispersal capability and metapopulation persistence of the endangered species, Leadbeater's possum, in south-eastern Australia. Landscape Ecology 11:79-105 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (1996) Biodiversity conseration after vegetation clearance controls. Page 85 in T. Dendy and J. Murray, editors. From Conflict to Conservation: Native Vegetation Management in Australia. S. A. Dept of Environment and Natural Resources, Adelaide pdf
Possingham, H. P. (1996) Decision theory and biodiversity management: how to manage a metapopulation. Pages 391-398 in R. B. Floyd, A. W. Sheppard and P. J. De Barro, editors. Frontiers of Population Ecology. CSIRO, Melbourne pdf
Pressey, R. L., H. P. Possingham and C. R. Margules (1996) Optimality in reserve selection algorithms: When does it matter and how much? Biological Conservation 76:259-267 pdf
Richards, S. A., H. P. Possingham and B. J. Noye (1996) Diel vertical migration: modelling light-mediated mechanisms. Journal of Plankton Research 18:2199-2222
Bull, C. M. and H. P. Possingham (1995) A model to explain ecological parapatry. The American Naturalist 145:935-947 pdf
Day, J. R. and H. P. Possingham (1995) A stochastic metapopulation model with variability in patch size and position. Theoretical Population Biology 48:333-360 pdf
Goldingay, R. and H. P. Possingham (1995) Area requirements for viable populations of the Australian gliding marsupial, Petaurus australis. Biological Conservation 73:161-167 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B. and H. P. Possingham (1995) Modelling the impacts of wildfire on viability of metapopulations of the endangered Australian species of arboreal marsupial, Leadbeater's possum, Gymnobelideus leadbeateri. Forest Ecology and Management 74:197-222 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B. and H. P. Possingham (1995) Modelling the viability of metapopulations of the endangered Leadbeater's possum in south-eastern Australia. Biodiversity and Conservation 4:984-1018
Lindenmayer, D. B. and H. P. Possingham (1995) The conservation of arboreal marsupials in the montane ash forests of the central highlands of Victoria, South-Eastern Australia. VII. Modelling the persistence of Leadbeater's possum in response to modified timber harvesting practices. Biological Conservation 73:239-257 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B., M. A. Burgman, A. R., R. Lacy and H. P. Possingham (1995) A review of the generic computer programs ALEX, RAMAS/Space and VORTEX, for modelling the viability of wildlife metapopulations. Ecological Modelling 82:161-174 pdf
Possingham, H. P. and I. Davies (1995) ALEX: A model for the viability analysis of spatially strucutured populations. Biological Conservation 73:143-150 pdf
Possingham, H. P., H. N. Comins and I. R. Noble (1995) The fire and flammability niches in plant communities. Journal of Theoretical Biology 174:97-108 pdf
Richards, S. R., H. P. Possingham and B. J. Noye (1995) Larval dispersion along a straight coast with tidal currents: complex distribution patterns from a simple model. Marine Ecology Progress Series 122:59-71
Southgate, R. and H. P. Possingham (1995) Modelling the reintroduction of the Greater Bilby Macrotis lagotis using the metapopulation model analysis of the likelihood of extinction (ALEX). Biological Conservation 73:151-160 pdf
Lindenmayer, D. B. and H. P. Possingham (1994) The Risk of Extinction: Ranking management options for Leadbeater's possum using population viability analysis. Page 254. Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies, Canberra
Possingham, H. P., D. B. Lindenmayer, T. W. Norton and I. Davies (1994) Metapopulation viability analysis of the greater glider Petauroides volans in a wood production area. Biological Conservation 70:343-353 pdf
Possingham, H. P., S. Tuljapurkar, J. Roughgarden and M. Wilks (1994) Population cycling in space-limited organisms subject to density-dependent predation. The American Naturalist 143:642-661 pdf
Tuck, G. N. and H. P. Possingham (1994) Optimal harvesting strategies for a metapopulation. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 56:107-127
Possingham, H. P. (1993) The impact of elevated CO2 on biodiversity: a population-dynamic perspective. Australian Journal of Botany 41:11-21
Possingham, H. P., D. B. Lindenmayer and T. W. Norton (1993) A framework for the improved management of threatened species based on PVA. Pacific Conservation Biology 1:39-45
Possingham, H. P., J. Day, M. Goldfinch and F. Salzborn (1993) The mathematics of designing a network of protected areas for conservation. Pages 536-545 in D. Sutton, F. Cousins and C. Pierce, editors. 12th Australian Operations Research Conference, University of Adelaide pdf
Possingham, H. P. (1992) Habitat selection by two species of nectarivore: habitat quality isolines. Ecology 73:1903-1912 pdf
Possingham, H. P., I. Davies, I. R. Noble and T. W. Norton (1992) A metapopulation simulation model for assessing the likelihood of plant and animal extinctions. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 33:367-372
Possingham, H. P. and A. I. Houston (1990) Optimal patch use by a territorial forager. Journal of Theoretical Biology 73:1903-1912
Possingham, H. P. and J. Roughgarden (1990) Spatial population dynamics of a marine organism with a complex life cycle. Ecology 71:973-985 pdf
Possingham, H. P., A. I. Houston and J. M. McNamara (1990) Risk-averse foraging in bees: a comment on the model of harder and real. Ecology 71:1622-1624 pdf
Possingham, H. P. (1989) The distribution and abundance of resources encountered by a forager. The American Naturalist 133:42-60
Possingham, H. P. (1988) A model of resource renewal and depletion: applications to the distribution and abundance of nectar in flowers. Theoretical Population Biology 33:138-160
Roughgarden, J., S. D. Gaines and H. P. Possingham (1988) Recruitment dynamics in complex life cycles. Science 241:1460-1466 pdf
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